Elliott Wave Gold Technical Analysis by Lara

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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – Video – 22nd October, 2014

by Lara · October 22nd, 2014 · Gold · No Comments

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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 22nd October, 2014

by Lara · October 22nd, 2014 · Gold · No Comments

Today the situation is remarkably unclear, even after about two weeks of confidence with this second Elliott wave correction. I have three scenarios for you today.

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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – Video – 21st October, 2014

by Lara · October 22nd, 2014 · Gold · No Comments

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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 21st October, 2014

by Lara · October 21st, 2014 · Gold · 3 Comments

Upwards movement continues as expected. The double zigzag structure is now the only Elliott wave count I have for you.

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US OIL Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 21st October, 2014

by Lara · October 21st, 2014 · US Oil, US Oil Historical · No Comments

The target at 84.65 was comfortably passed and the structure is incomplete.

Summary: The new target for this wave to end is 79.67 – 78.15, which may be met within one to two weeks.

Click on charts to enlarge.

US Oil Elliott Wave Chart Monthly 2014

The bigger picture sees US Oil in a super cycle second wave correction unfolding as a huge zigzag. Within the zigzag cycle wave a subdivides best as a five, indicating a zigzag, and cycle wave b is a complete double zigzag.

If cycle wave b were to continue any higher it may not move beyond the start of cycle wave a above 146.73.

Cycle wave c is most likely to end when price finds support at the lower edge of the large channel.

Within cycle wave c intermediate wave (3) would reach 2.618 the length of intermediate wave (1) at 53.92.

Depending on the length of this third wave I may consider moving the labeling within cycle wave c all up one degree.

US Oil Elliott Wave Chart Weekly 2014

Intermediate wave (1) down looks like a five wave impulse and intermediate wave (2) upwards looks like a clearly contrasting correction with a lot of choppy overlapping movement.

Within intermediate wave (3) minor wave 1 is close to completion. When it is done I will draw a Fibonacci retracement along its length and expect minor wave 2 to end about the 0.382 Fibonacci ratio in the first instance, and the 0.618 Fibonacci ratio slightly less likely. Because this would be a second wave correction within a third wave it may be more shallow and brief than otherwise.

Minor wave 2 may not move beyond the start of minor wave 1 above 107.54.

US Oil Elliott Wave Chart Daily 2014

Minor wave 1 is ending with a typically strong fifth wave.

Within minor wave 1 minute wave iii is 0.52 short of 6.854 the length of minute wave i. At 78.15 minute wave v would reach equality in length with minute wave iii.

Within minute wave v there is no Fibonacci ratio between minuette waves (iii) and (i). I would expect to see a Fibonacci ratio between minuette wave (v) to either of (i) or (iii). At 79.67 minuette wave (v) would reach equality in length with minuette wave (i).

I favour the upper end of this target zone because it is calculated at a lower degree.

Draw a channel about minute wave v using Elliott’s first technique: draw the first trend line from the lows of minuette waves (i) to (iii), then place a parallel copy on the high of minuette wave (ii). I would expect minuette wave (v) to find support and end at the lower edge of this channel.

When this green channel is breached by at least one full daily candlestick above it and not touching the upper green trend line then I would take that as trend channel confirmation that minor wave 1 is over and minor wave 2 is underway.

Minor wave 2 may not move beyond the start of minor wave 1 above 107.67.

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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – Video – 20th October, 2014

by Lara · October 20th, 2014 · Gold · No Comments

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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 20th October, 2014

by Lara · October 20th, 2014 · Gold · No Comments

Upwards movement continues as expected. The double zigzag structure is even more likely and has the best fit.

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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – Video – 17th October, 2014

by Lara · October 18th, 2014 · Gold · No Comments

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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 17th October, 2014

by Lara · October 18th, 2014 · Gold · No Comments

Downwards movement breached the first invalidation point on the hourly chart, but remained above the second invalidation point and found support at the lower edge of the channel.

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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – Video – 16th October, 2014

by Lara · October 16th, 2014 · Gold · No Comments

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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 16th October, 2014

by Lara · October 16th, 2014 · Gold · No Comments

The short term target for a little downwards movement was at 1,232. Price moved mostly sideways, and slightly lower, falling 3.46 short of the target and taking longer to do so than expected.

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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – Video – 15th October, 2014

by Lara · October 15th, 2014 · Gold · No Comments

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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 15th October, 2014

by Lara · October 15th, 2014 · Gold · No Comments

The target for a little downwards movement was 1,222. Price reached 1,221.95 and then turned, as expected from the preferred hourly Elliott wave count.

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