SILVER Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 18th November, 2013

Last week movement below 20.512 invalidated the main wave count and confirmed the alternate. At that stage the analysis for the alternate wave count expected a continuation of downwards movement.

I have just the one wave count for you this week.

Click on the charts below to enlarge.

Minor wave B is an incomplete zigzag.

Within minor wave B minute wave a subdivides nicely as a leading expanding diagonal. Within the leading diagonal all the subwaves are zigzags except the third wave which is an impulse. For this piece of movement this structure has the best fit.

Minute wave b is labeled as an expanded flat correction. Within it minuette waves (a) and (b) both subdivide as three wave zigzags, and minuette wave (b) is a 106% correction of minuette wave (a). There is no Fibonacci ratio between minuette waves (a) and (c).

Minute wave c is an incomplete impulse. At 18.591 minute wave c would reach equality in length with minute wave a. Within minute wave c minuette wave (iv) is now complete so I can add to the target calculation at another wave degree. At 18.323 minuette wave (v) would reach 1.618 the length of minuette wave (i).

Minor wave B may not move beyond the start of minor wave A. This wave count is invalidated with movement below 18.215.

Minuette wave (iv) subdivides as a contracting triangle. Minuette wave (v) begins at 20.789.

I am expecting minuette wave (v) to be extended. Minuette waves (i) and (iii) are close to equality, with minuette wave (iii) 0.134 longer than minuette wave (i).

I have drawn a parallel channel about minute wave c using Elliott’s first technique. The first trend line is drawn from the ends of minuette waves (i) to (iii), then a parallel copy is placed upon the high of minuette wave (ii). This nearly perfectly shows where minuette wave (iv) ended.

I am expecting minuette wave (v) to most likely breach the lower edge of this channel.

Within minuette wave (v) subminuette wave ii may not move beyond the start of subminuette wave i. This wave count is invalidated with movement above 20.789.

7 thoughts on “SILVER Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 18th November, 2013”

1. nixieritter says:

What target price are we looking for on Silver to confirm a trend change? I absolutely love your site. It is so educational and informative. What I like is that you can get involved at whatever level you want. Thanks, Nixie

1. Lara says:

I would have used 20.66 which has already been passed.

The other thing I look for is a breach of the channel containing minute wave c down (the pink channel on the daily chart). This has been breached now.

Depending upon your risk aversion there is one more channel breach to look for; a corrective channel about minor wave B downwards.

So I’d say that’s likely to be it for silver.

I’ll be updating the Silver analysis tomorrow. I’ve done US OIl today and I’m all charted out for now ðŸ™‚

2. Roger Pak says:

Hi Lara,
Since silver went up today to 20.06, does that mean that minuette wave v is extended or is wave iv semi complete and now turning into a flat structure?

1. Lara says:

I think that’s it for Silver. I think it’s turned.

The target was not met, but the structure is now complete.

3. Deepak soni says:

What time has been taken for silver target ? Some idea!

1. Lara says: