by Lara | Feb 6, 2017 | Gold |
Another upwards day fits the second hourly Elliott wave count. Price is now just above the target range, which was 1,219.11 to 1,233.43. Summary: If we expect the most common scenario to unfold, then we should be right more often than wrong. We will still be wrong...
by Lara | Feb 1, 2017 | Gold |
A new low below 1,202.92 invalidated the alternate hourly Elliott wave count and added confidence to the main hourly Elliott wave count. Summary: The target for this next wave down to end is at 1,154. If a new high above 1,214.91 is seen, then expect some more upwards...
by Lara | Jan 16, 2017 | Gold |
Upwards movement invalidated the main hourly Elliott wave count and confirmed the alternate. The target is now adjusted. Summary: The new target for upwards movement to end is 1,219. In the short term, a new low below 1,187.97 would indicate a trend change and a...
by Lara | Dec 22, 2016 | Gold |
Another small inside day fits both Elliott wave counts, but price behaviour is pointing to one scenario more strongly than the other. Summary: It still looks like another new low may unfold before Gold either turns or begins a time consuming consolidation. The target...
by Lara | Dec 9, 2016 | Reference |
The other alternate idea of a leading expanding diagonal published up to yesterday will be discarded based upon a very low probability. Click chart to enlarge. An analysis back to 1997 of the daily chart of first waves and A waves at minor degree* and above reveals 23...
by Lara | Dec 5, 2016 | Gold |
Price whipsawed and crossed both invalidation points for the first two hourly charts. Summary: It looks like Gold is finding a low. Confidence in a trend change would come with a new high above 1,232.48. Double divergence now with RSI strongly indicates a low here or...
by Lara | Nov 29, 2016 | Gold |
Upwards movement was expected, but this is not what has happened. Price has moved mostly sideways to complete a small red doji and remains above the invalidation point on the hourly chart. Summary: The target for a six month long wave up is 1,500 and some confidence...
by Lara | Nov 25, 2016 | Gold |
A short, sharp wave down to about 1,170 was expected for Friday’s session. This is what happened. Downwards movement reached 1,172.10 before reversing. Summary: Gold is in a downwards trend. The main Elliott wave count has little support from classic technical...
by Lara | Nov 24, 2016 | Gold |
A very quiet sideways session while New York is closed for Thanksgiving Day includes a slight new low. This makes a difference to the short term picture for the main Elliott wave count. Summary: A small fourth wave triangle is ending. It should be followed by a short...
