Upwards movement was unexpected for Friday.
Continue reading GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 28th July, 2017
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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 15th June, 2017
Overall more downwards movement was expected and did happen, but a small bounce was expected to end about 1,270 first and that did not happen.
Continue reading GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 15th June, 2017
GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 17th February, 2017
Price moved higher for Friday’s session, which was not expected but was allowed for. Price remains below the invalidation point on the main hourly Elliott wave count.
This week volume and ATR are giving some clues as to what the upwards movement for the last three days most likely means.
Continue reading GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 17th February, 2017
GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 16th January, 2017
Upwards movement invalidated the main hourly Elliott wave count and confirmed the alternate. The target is now adjusted.
Continue reading GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 16th January, 2017
GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 13th October, 2016
More sideways movement has unfolded exactly as expected.
The breakout is still expected in another one or four days.
Continue reading GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 13th October, 2016
GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 17th June, 2016
Last analysis expected a correction to continue. Upwards movement remains below the high and is choppy and overlapping, although it was substantial.
Continue reading GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 17th June, 2016
GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 12th February, 2016
Downwards movement was expected for Friday’s session.
Price moved overall lower in a small inside day.
Continue reading GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 12th February, 2016
GDX Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 19th January, 2016
Elliott wave charts only today.
Continue reading GDX Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 19th January, 2016
GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 10th December, 2015
A correction was expected to continue.
Another small inside day fits this expectation.
Continue reading GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 10th December, 2015
GDX Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 1st December, 2015
MONTHLY ELLIOTT WAVE COUNT
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The bull wave counts for Gold have been invalidated, so I will not follow them for GDX. I will let Gold lead GDX.
GDX has been in a bear market since September 2011. While price remains below the upper edge of the channel drawn here there has been no technical confirmation of a trend change from bear to bull. The bear market should be expected to remain intact until there is confirmation it is not.
At 11.22 intermediate wave (5) would reach equality in length with intermediate wave (1).
Intermediate wave (5) must subdivide as a five wave structure, either an impulse or an ending diagonal. At this stage, it will not fit as an ending diagonal, so the more common impulse should be expected to complete.
Minor wave 4 may not move into minor wave 1 price territory above 16.45 within the impulse of intermediate wave (5).
DAILY ELLIOTT WAVE COUNT
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Within intermediate wave (5), minor wave 3 is close to an end.
At 12.37 minuette wave (v) would reach equality in length with minuette wave (i).
Minuette wave (iv) at this stage looks like it may be a completed regular contracting triangle. If the triangle is invalided by movement above 14.07, then this fourth wave may be morphing into a combination. At that stage, the alternate below should be used.
Minute wave v fits nicely within an Elliott channel at this stage. If price remains within the channel and moves lower, then minuette wave v may be complete. Thereafter, a breach of the channel would confirm that minuette wave v is over, so minor wave 3 should be over.
ALTERNATE ELLIOTT WAVE COUNT
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It is also possible that the triangle is subminuette wave b within a zigzag for minuette wave (iv).
This would see minuette wave (iv) move higher for a couple to a few days. It may not move into minuette wave (i) price territory above 15.61.
This idea must have a lower probability because it would see minuette wave (iv) breach the Elliott channel and there would be less alternation between minuette waves (ii) and (iv).
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
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ADX indicates there is no clear trend. ATR agrees as it is declining.
On Balance Volume sits between two parallel trend lines. A break out of this range by OBV may precede price direction.
As price moves sideways volume declines. There is no support for upwards days. Overall, the volume profile for recent movement looks more bearish than bullish.
GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 25th November, 2015
An inside day with light volume fits the Elliott wave count.
Continue reading GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 25th November, 2015
GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 4th November, 2015
Yesterday’s analysis expected downwards movement to be over at yesterday’s low or shortly thereafter.
Price has continued substantially lower.
Continue reading GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 4th November, 2015
GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 27th October, 2015
Downwards movement was expected, but price has moved mostly sideways to complete a small green candlestick.
Continue reading GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 27th October, 2015