A candlestick pattern on the daily chart in combination with volume analysis indicate the most likely scenario for early next week.
Another new low was expected. This is so far what is happening.
The bigger picture is updated today with a new weekly wave count.
Downwards movement still remains contained within the channel and above the short term invalidation point. Sideways movement for Friday leaves the Elliott wave count the same.
Again, price has moved lower as the main wave count expected it to. A breach of the channel adds a little confidence, but the confidence price point has not yet been passed. Alternates should still be considered.
All possibilities are considered, and it is time to step back and look at Elliott wave monthly charts.
Upwards movement was expected to continue to a target at 1,317. Price has reached 5.03 above the target.
It is time to step back and take another look at the bigger picture as cycle wave b becomes a little clearer.
Another strong downwards day was not expected to break below a support line that extends back to December 2016. Price action today suggests the weekly alternate count, or a variation thereof, now is more likely.
A classic upwards breakout has unfolded as expected. In last analysis members were advised to enter a hedge or just enter long. With stops for long positions just below 1,240.24 or 1,221 (depending on trading strategy), members should now have profitable long positions. Short hedges, if entered, should have been automatically closed just above 1,269.72.
Trading advice for profit taking and managing long positions is given today.
It is time to step back and look at the bigger picture. Today’s analysis updates monthly and weekly charts.
Price continues to move lower towards the target as expected.
Gold has had a trend change. How high this next wave goes and what structure it takes will indicate which Elliott wave count at the monthly chart level may be correct.
Short term downwards movement was expected. Price is now within the target range.
A new low below 1,172.10 indicated more downwards movement, but the target for the alternate Elliott wave count at 1,169 was inadequate.